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Dow Jones Futures Rise On Cisco Earnings, Mastercard 'Normalization' After Coronavirus Stock Market Rally Sick Day; Apple, Tesla Setting Up - Investor's Business Daily

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Dow Jones futures tilted lower late Wednesday, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures, amid positive Cisco earnings and Mastercard (MA) comments.The coronavirus stock market rally pulled back for a second straight session, as Fed chief Jerome Powell said he sees "significant downside risks" and an "uncertain path" of the coronavirus recovery. But the major indexes and leading stocks pared losses significantly into the close.

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Investors should adopt a more cautious stance. Still, the pullback is offering a chance for some stocks to take a breather. Apple (AAPL), Facebook (FB), Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL), Tesla (TSLA) and ServiceNow (NOW) are working on possible handles. None of these names, with the possible exception of Tesla stock, has an actual handle yet. And having a handle isn't a green light to buy.

Apple stock and ServiceNow stock are on IBD Leaderboard. Apple, Facebook stock and Google stock are all "Blue Dot" specials, highlighting stocks with superior relative strength but still in bases.

Meanwhile, Cisco Systems (CSCO) reported better-than-expected earnings late. While Cisco stock has been a laggard for some time, the networking giant still provides insight into business IT spending.

Also, Mastercard said it's starting to see "normalization" starting in consumer spending in recent weeks. Mastercard stock rose overnight, along with archrival Visa (V) and digital payments leader PayPal (PYPL).

Dow Jones Futures Today

Dow Jones futures fell 0.1% vs. fair value, swinging between slim gains and losses. S&P 500 futures retreated 0.25%. Nasdaq 100 futures sank 0.2%. Cisco stock, a Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq component, gave modest lift, though it has far less weight than fellow triple-threat Apple stock.

Dow Jones futures remain prone to big overnight moves, even if massive whipsaw action is less common.

Remember that overnight action in Dow futures and elsewhere doesn't necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular stock market session.


Join IBD experts as they analyze actionable stocks in the coronavirus stock market rally on IBD Live.


Coronavirus News

Coronavirus cases worldwide moved above 4.42 million. Covid-19 deaths reached 298,000.

Coronavirus cases in the U.S. have topped 1.43 million, with deaths at least 85,000. New coronavirus cases in the U.S. have slowed to their lowest levels in several weeks, even as Covid-19 testing has picked up. The share of coronavirus tests that are positive also has retreated, another positive sign.

Much of the recent improvement has come from the New York and New Jersey area, but not all. So far states that are easing coronavirus shutdowns aren't seeing a big spike in Covid-19 infections, though that might show yet. Of course, states are not flipping a switch from complete shutdowns to fully open. Also, businesses and individuals continue to follow social distancing and wearing masks to a great extent.

Coronavirus Stock Market Rally

The coronavirus stock market rally fell for a second straight session. Unlike Tuesday's sell-off into the close, the major indexes pared losses in the final minutes.

Fed chief Jerome Powell said there are "downside risks" and long-term damage to the U.S. economy due to the coronavirus pandemic. He said more fiscal stimulus likely will be needed. Democrats and Republicans are divided over whether more coronavirus aid is needed, and what provisions might be in it.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.2%, finding support at its 50-day line. The S&P 500 index retreated 1.7% and the Nasdaq composite 1.5%. The Nasdaq, which has been leading the coronavirus stock market rally, held support above its 21-day exponential moving average.

Among the best ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) slid 1%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) fell 2%. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) retreated 1.8%.

Cisco Earnings

Cisco earnings unexpectedly edged up to 79 cents a share in fiscal Q3 vs. 78 cents a year earlier. Revenue fell 8% to $11.98 billion. Analysts expected Cisco earnings of 71 cents a share on sales of $11.88 billion.

The networking giant, which has been expanding into services and security from its legacy router and switch business, sees declining EPS and sales in fiscal Q4. But the profit guidance is above targets while the revenue forecast is in line.

While not great news for IT spending, it's not a disaster either.

Cisco stock rose 2.4% overnight. Shares fell 2.9% to 41.95 in Wednesday's stock market trading. Cisco stock has been trading below its 200-day moving average for the past nine months.

Mastercard Sees 'Normalization'

In a statement after the close, Mastercard said "we believe that we are starting to see the transition from the Stabilization phase to the Normalization phase in some markets, although it is very early days." Payment transactions by various measures are showing smaller year-over-year declines in the past few weeks.

Mastercard stock rose 1.8% in late trade. Visa stock climbed 0.5%. Both MA and V stock are hitting resistance around their 200-day lines. PayPal stock, which has surged to record highs, edged higher overnight.

Mastercard stock and PayPal stock are on the IBD Long-Term Leaders screen.

Apple Stock

Apple stock fell 1.2% to 307.65 on Wednesday. On a daily chart, AAPL stock is modestly extended from a 288.35 cup-with-handle buy point. But on a weekly chart, Apple stock didn't form a handle. It could be forming a handle on a weekly chart, though it would need to finish the week down. That would provide a 319.79 entry, not far from late January's all-time high.

The relative strength line for Apple stock is at a record high. The RS line, the blue line in the charts provided, reflect a stock's performance vs. the S&P 500 index.

On a weekly MarketSmith chart, Apple stock has a blue-shaded dot on the end of its RS line. Blue Dot stocks have RS lines at highs, but are still in bases and haven't broken out. That's why Apple is a Blue Dot special on a weekly chart, but not on a daily.

MarketSmith users can find Blue Dot stocks, as well as new and recent breakouts and stocks near buy points via the Open Stock Ideas button.

Tesla Stock

Tesla stock retreated 2.3% to 790.96. The TSLA stock chart is uneven, making buy points uneven. Tesla stock corrected 64% from its Feb. 4 peak of 968.99 to its March 18 low. Shares then rallied furiously. They broke out of a handle entry at 775.05 shortly before earnings, then reversed lower following results and an Elon Musk tweet that he thought Tesla stock was too high.

But Tesla stock rebounded from its 21-day line. Arguably, Tesla stock already has a new handle with an 869.92 entry. But a longer pause with a handle — or a new, proper base within the wild consolidation — would be helpful.

Despite volatile share price action, the RS line for Tesla stock is right at record highs. It would have been a Blue Dot special in recent days but it's consolidation was too deep to be recognized by MarketSmith pattern recognition.

While the Tesla Fremont plant is operating once again, there remains huge uncertainty about demand for autos generally and luxury electric vehicles in particular amid a massive recession.

Facebook Stock

Facebook stock sank 2.4% to 205.10. Since its March 18 low, FB stock has run up quickly without much of a breather. Facebook stock currently has a 224.30 cup-base buy point, but it could have a handle in a few days on a daily and weekly chart. That would offer a slightly lower entry.

The RS line is at record highs once again, making Facebook stock a Blue Dot special once again.

Google Stock

Google stock slid 1.95% to 1,348.33. As with Facebook stock, GOOGL stock has been moving up the right side of a cup base. The current entry is 1,530.84, but Google stock could be starting a handle.

Google stock also is a Blue Dot special.

ServiceNow Stock

ServiceNow stock lost 1.2% to 361.29, undercutting a 363.05 cup-base buy point, but off intraday lows of 351.29. NOW stock had run up sharply from the bottom and gapped up near a breakout on earnings, and never really took a breather. While the 363.05 entry is still valid, investors might want to wait for ServiceNow stock to clear the old high with a 388.60 buy point, with its high handle-like action. It's a clear resistance area for NOW stock itself. Further, shares likely won't return to new highs unless the coronavirus stock market rally perks up again.

Let The Stock Market Be Your Guide

An earlier Stock Market Today column discussed whether the coronavirus stock market rally was too fast, too furious given the economic reality. The column noted that ultimately investors need to pay attention to what the stock market is doing, rather than try to impose personal beliefs or predictions on the market.

That still holds today. What you or I think about the coronavirus stock market rally — or specific names such as Apple stock or Tesla stock — doesn't matter. Right now the stock market, via the major indexes and leading stocks, is pulling back. And the vast majority of stocks, including growth names like Facebook stock, Google stock and ServiceNow stock, will fall with the broader market.

For now, investors should adopt a slightly more cautious stance and be ready to cut holdings based on stock-specific or market action.

Read The Big Picture every day to stay in sync with the market direction and leading stocks and sectors.

Please follow Ed Carson on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and more.

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Dow Jones Futures Rise On Cisco Earnings, Mastercard 'Normalization' After Coronavirus Stock Market Rally Sick Day; Apple, Tesla Setting Up - Investor's Business Daily
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